Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UL -400 ULM +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +6 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | UL -9.5 (-15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -9.3 (-15.3) | 138.2 (-0.2) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -8.5 (-14.5) | 137.8 (+0.2) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -8.6 (-14.6) | 139.2 (-1.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UL -9.5 (-15.5) | 139.4 (-1.4) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | UL 85 – 79 ULM |
| Dec 20, 2025 | UL 76 – 62 ULM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | UL 73 – 69 ULM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UL 65 – 60 ULM |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UL 71 – 68 ULM |
Game Analysis
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