Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | TNST +300 MORE -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +13 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -8.7 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.4 (+22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -9.0 (-4.0) | 130.4 (+14.6) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -7.1 (-5.9) | 131.9 (+13.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -8.6 (-4.4) | 131.3 (+13.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -8.4 (-4.6) | 132.5 (+12.5) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | TNST 93 – 67 MORE |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MORE 94 – 86 TNST |
| Jan 16, 2026 | TNST 105 – 100 MORE |
| Feb 28, 2025 | TNST 64 – 55 MORE |
| Dec 21, 2024 | MORE 74 – 68 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNST | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-19 | 23-8 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 17-3 |
| Home | 4-8 | 12-1 |
| Away | 0-10 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#315) | 0.7 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.05 (#336) | 0.64 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.54 (#333) | 0.60 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.352 (#344) | 0.548 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNST | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 25.4% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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