Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | HPU -333 CHSO +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +1 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | HPU -10.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -10.0 (-11.0) | 135.2 (+1.8) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -8.7 (-9.7) | 134.3 (+2.7) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -10.5 (-11.5) | 135.9 (+1.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -9.4 (-10.4) | 134.6 (+2.4) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | HPU 80 – 55 CHSO |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HPU 84 – 82 CHSO |
| Feb 20, 2025 | HPU 83 – 60 CHSO |
| Jan 9, 2025 | HPU 93 – 79 CHSO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | HPU 74 – 59 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-15 | 3-18 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 2-15 |
| Home | 5-5 | 1-9 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#257) | -13.7 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#290) | -4.67 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#286) | -5.98 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#275) | 0.359 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 24.3% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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