Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | MONT +110 WEB -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +13 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -5.1 (+18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -4.4 (+17.4) | 141.4 (+5.6) | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -3.1 (+16.1) | 141.0 (+6.0) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -2.9 (+15.9) | 143.2 (+3.8) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -3.5 (+16.5) | 142.6 (+4.4) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WEB 92 – 72 MONT |
| Jan 23, 2026 | MONT 81 – 65 WEB |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MONT 65 – 58 WEB |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MONT 63 – 59 WEB |
| Jan 23, 2024 | MONT 77 – 62 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 17-6 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 12-3 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-0 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#190) | 6.1 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#274) | 0.33 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#266) | 0.59 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#219) | 0.544 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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