Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | GB +100 NKU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +4 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -0.6 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (+23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -0.6 (+4.6) | 145.1 (+22.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -1.1 (+5.1) | 143.0 (+25.0) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -0.4 (+4.4) | 144.7 (+23.3) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -0.2 (+4.2) | 147.3 (+20.7) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NKU 96 – 76 GB |
| Feb 5, 2026 | GB 87 – 84 NKU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | GB 80 – 78 NKU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NKU 73 – 60 GB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NKU 78 – 60 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-17 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#277) | -4.1 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#281) | -0.40 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#273) | -0.71 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#269) | 0.497 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.