Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | BEL -700 EKU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +18 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -10.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -11.1 (+6.9) | 162.4 (+3.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -9.6 (+8.4) | 162.4 (+3.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -11.3 (+6.7) | 163.8 (+2.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -11.0 (+7.0) | 163.1 (+2.9) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2021 | EKU 81 – 67 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-4 | 22-7 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-1 | 10-2 |
| Away | 10-2 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.3 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#70) | 0.6 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#51) | 0.59 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#80) | 0.00 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#89) | 0.522 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.3% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 25.1% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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