Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | JXST -400 EIU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -10.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -9.5 (+2.5) | 143.3 (-3.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -8.7 (+3.3) | 141.7 (-1.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -9.4 (+2.6) | 142.7 (-2.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -9.3 (+2.7) | 142.5 (-2.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 9-18 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 8-3 | 5-7 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#182) | -9.5 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#171) | -1.79 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#184) | -2.57 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#140) | 0.410 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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