Betting Lines
| Spread | IDST -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | IDST -400 IDHO +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDST +26 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | IDST -11.3 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDST -9.7 (+16.3) | 129.7 (-17.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDST -9.3 (+16.7) | 127.1 (-15.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDST -8.9 (+17.1) | 130.3 (-18.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDST -9.6 (+16.4) | 130.6 (-18.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | IDHO 99 – 69 IDST |
| Jan 16, 2026 | IDST 76 – 68 IDHO |
| Feb 28, 2025 | IDST 69 – 65 IDHO |
| Feb 1, 2025 | IDST 87 – 71 IDHO |
| Feb 17, 2024 | IDHO 55 – 53 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-11 | 1-21 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 1-17 |
| Home | 8-3 | 1-9 |
| Away | 5-5 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 61.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#279) | -16.1 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#268) | -4.64 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#298) | -6.29 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#239) | 0.350 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 25.6% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.