Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | CCSU +188 MRMK -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +16 | 108 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -0.7 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -0.4 (-15.6) | 135.5 (-27.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -0.1 (-15.9) | 134.7 (-26.7) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -0.3 (-15.7) | 136.9 (-28.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -0.1 (-15.9) | 135.9 (-27.9) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2024 | MRMK 71 – 68 CCSU |
| Jan 15, 2024 | CCSU 75 – 70 MRMK |
| Feb 24, 2023 | MRMK 70 – 54 CCSU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | MRMK 64 – 61 CCSU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | CCSU 60 – 57 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-16 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 3-6 | 6-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#288) | -4.8 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#240) | 0.21 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#242) | -0.06 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#252) | 0.496 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 20.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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