Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | ASU +125 ORE -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +11 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -3.4 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -2.2 (-8.8) | 152.6 (-13.6) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -2.3 (-8.7) | 150.4 (-11.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -2.7 (-8.3) | 153.5 (-14.5) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -2.2 (-8.8) | 152.0 (-13.0) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2024 | ORE 80 – 61 ASU |
| Feb 5, 2023 | ORE 75 – 70 ASU |
| Jan 13, 2023 | ASU 90 – 73 ORE |
| Feb 18, 2022 | ASU 81 – 57 ORE |
| Dec 6, 2021 | ASU 69 – 67 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 21-7 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 7-6 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-6 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#111) | 10.1 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#141) | 1.52 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#129) | 2.18 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#132) | 0.553 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 20.2% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.0% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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