Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | STAN +100 COLO +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +18 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -3.2 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -0.8 (-17.2) | 139.5 (-19.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -2.2 (-15.8) | 135.6 (-15.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -1.6 (-16.4) | 138.9 (-18.9) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -0.9 (-17.1) | 137.8 (-17.8) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | STAN 77 – 68 COLO |
| Mar 4, 2024 | COLO 81 – 71 STAN |
| Feb 6, 2023 | COLO 84 – 62 STAN |
| Dec 30, 2022 | COLO 73 – 70 STAN |
| Feb 20, 2022 | COLO 70 – 53 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 5-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#56) | 15.6 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#56) | 2.06 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#56) | 2.86 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#31) | 0.608 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.