Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | UTA +120 TXST -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +7 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | TXST -1.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -0.1 (-7.1) | 129.3 (-10.3) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -0.0 (-7.0) | 127.4 (-8.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -0.7 (-6.3) | 128.3 (-9.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -0.6 (-6.4) | 130.4 (-11.4) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2024 | UTA 80 – 72 TXST |
| Nov 25, 2023 | TXST 73 – 66 UTA |
| Dec 11, 2022 | TXST 71 – 65 UTA |
| Jan 29, 2022 | TXST 58 – 53 UTA |
| Jan 28, 2022 | UTA 70 – 58 TXST |
Game Analysis
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