Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | KU -1200 ISU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +33 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | KU -17.0 (+16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -15.3 (+17.7) | 144.9 (+16.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -13.3 (+19.7) | 145.0 (+16.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -16.4 (+16.6) | 145.1 (+15.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -15.8 (+17.2) | 144.6 (+16.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ISU 74 – 56 KU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | KU 84 – 63 ISU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | KU 69 – 52 ISU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | ISU 74 – 57 KU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ISU 79 – 75 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 2-22 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 0-18 |
| Home | 14-1 | 2-10 |
| Away | 4-6 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#30) | -2.0 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.91 (#11) | -1.30 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.38 (#19) | -1.64 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#25) | 0.460 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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