Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC -163 SIUE +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +18 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | TNTC -1.5 (-19.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -0.7 (-18.7) | 137.5 (+6.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -0.1 (-18.1) | 136.1 (+7.9) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -0.4 (-18.4) | 138.6 (+5.4) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -0.4 (-18.4) | 138.0 (+6.0) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TNTC 62 – 52 SIUE |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SIUE 62 – 58 TNTC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SIUE 75 – 58 TNTC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SIUE 67 – 59 TNTC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SIUE 78 – 77 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-22 | 9-17 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 7-12 |
| Home | 5-6 | 2-8 |
| Away | 0-16 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#325) | -10.1 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.70 (#332) | -1.49 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.23 (#328) | -2.00 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#300) | 0.451 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 23.5% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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