Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | IONA -225 MAN +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +18 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -10.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.3 (+28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -9.6 (+8.4) | 129.6 (+22.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -8.5 (+9.5) | 132.1 (+19.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -9.0 (+9.0) | 132.5 (+19.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -9.2 (+8.8) | 134.0 (+18.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | IONA 69 – 65 MAN |
| Jan 25, 2026 | IONA 66 – 57 MAN |
| Mar 13, 2025 | IONA 77 – 65 MAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | IONA 65 – 60 MAN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MAN 76 – 55 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-6 | 7-13 |
| Conference | 6-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 4-2 | 4-6 |
| Away | 4-3 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#156) | -7.8 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#149) | -1.24 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#158) | -1.72 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#101) | 0.404 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 35.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 41.4% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.2% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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