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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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13–4 on winners spread MAE 10.3 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Northern Illinois @ Pittsburgh — — — 59–89 —
Rider @ Syracuse — — — 52–87 —
Oakland @ Oklahoma State +21.3 150.8 90% 71–84 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Saint Louis +24.6 146.8 91% 54–107 ✓
Rice @ Houston Christian — — — 86–64 —
Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian — — — 48–69 —
UNLV @ Kansas State +4.9 136.8 58% 68–58 ✗
BYU @ Utah State +0.8 142.1 45% 67–64 ✗
Portland State @ Portland — — — 73–86 —
Tennessee Tech @ Western Carolina +13.2 142.5 88% 75–76 ✓
Villanova @ Texas +5.7 138.2 59% 68–64 ✗
Grambling @ Texas Tech — — — 40–81 —
Stanford @ North Carolina A&T -3.6 140.9 34% 78–46 ✓
New Hampshire @ Quinnipiac — — — 58–64 —
Cleveland State @ Ohio — — — 46–101 —
Coppin State @ Drexel +10.7 139.9 83% 54–69 ✓
Stetson @ Florida — — — 40–86 —
Missouri @ Wichita State — — — 72–62 —
Stony Brook @ St. John's +9.7 151.7 83% 66–89 ✓
UL Monroe @ Northwestern State — — — 92–83 —
UC Riverside @ Denver — — — 83–63 —
Central Arkansas @ Little Rock — — — 83–86 —
Mississippi Valley State @ Western Kentucky +22.1 159.2 90% 69–96 ✓
Xavier @ Cincinnati — — — 77–69 —
Troy @ UAB +18.5 133.5 89% 55–77 ✓
Central Michigan @ Western Illinois — — — 79–73 —
La Salle @ Army +11.9 131.5 88% 59–63 ✓
Binghamton @ Marist — — — 60–64 —
UCF @ Michigan — — — 58–80 —
Wyoming @ Oregon State +6.2 143.4 52% 76–73 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas A&M — — — 68–81 —
Oklahoma @ TCU — — — 82–78 —
West Virginia @ Georgetown -4.8 145.6 44% 80–71 ✓
Pepperdine @ San Diego State +9.2 149.3 81% 60–65 ✓
Kentucky @ Georgia Tech — — — 62–79 —
Seattle U @ Long Beach State — — — 75–80 —
Western Michigan @ Michigan State — — — 61–79 —
Bellarmine @ Howard — — — 84–63 —
Louisiana Tech @ LSU +17.5 152.7 88% 55–86 ✓
Buffalo @ Bowling Green +3.3 153.2 75% 78–86 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.