Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–2 on winners spread MAE 6.9 44 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wisconsin @ Marquette +5.1 134.8 73% 65–67 ✓
Bellarmine @ Duke — — — 54–76 —
Jacksonville @ Georgia — — — 65–98 —
Valparaiso @ Purdue +13.8 135.8 88% 61–68 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Florida International — — — 70–74 —
Toledo @ Eastern Michigan — — — 91–74 —
McNeese @ Stephen F. Austin — — — 76–86 —
Central Arkansas @ Memphis — — — 68–85 —
Stetson @ Miami — — — 60–82 —
South Dakota State @ Bradley +5.7 136.4 66% 88–84 ✗
North Texas @ Mississippi State +2.4 129.0 61% 63–69 ✓
Troy @ Texas Tech +15.7 133.1 87% 46–80 ✓
Seton Hall @ Oregon — — — 70–83 —
San Francisco @ Cal Poly — — — 88–60 —
North Dakota @ Minnesota — — — 67–76 —
South Alabama @ Auburn +6.8 143.9 77% 81–90 ✓
Long Beach State @ Loyola Marymount — — — 61–85 —
Idaho @ Sacramento State — — — 57–73 —
Northern Kentucky @ Chattanooga — — — 72–79 —
Coppin State @ George Washington — — — 69–85 —
Furman @ Charleston — — — 81–57 —
Eastern Washington @ Arizona — — — 67–70 —
Marist @ Binghamton — — — 68–65 —
UIC @ Ball State +1.9 135.8 67% 66–68 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ VCU +5.9 130.1 74% 42–60 ✓
SMU @ Dayton — — — 66–64 —
North Florida @ High Point — — — 74–85 —
South Carolina State @ UNC Asheville +9.9 140.5 80% 56–77 ✓
Radford @ East Carolina — — — 50–63 —
Montana @ Southern Utah +2.4 137.5 77% 74–75 ✓
Omaha @ SIU Edwardsville +7.3 140.8 68% 65–63 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Green Bay -5.3 139.0 24% 93–91 ✓
Lamar @ Air Force — — — 44–59 —
Incarnate Word @ Texas State +9.1 137.7 86% 64–72 ✓
North Dakota State @ Kansas +9.9 134.4 86% 61–65 ✓
Iona @ Hofstra — — — 82–74 —
Miami (OH) @ Wright State — — — 47–71 —
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Providence +8.6 139.1 81% 67–79 ✓
Chicago State @ Northwestern — — — 66–111 —
Lipscomb @ Arkansas +17.7 140.0 89% 50–86 ✓
Samford @ Belmont — — — 96–83 —
South Carolina @ Houston — — — 67–77 —
Illinois State @ Murray State — — — 65–76 —
Georgia Southern @ South Carolina Upstate — — — 72–69 —

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.