Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -115 SDST -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +4 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -11.6 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.0 (+44.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -5.7 (-9.7) | 136.4 (+35.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -8.3 (-12.3) | 131.3 (+40.7) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -7.8 (-11.8) | 131.9 (+40.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -9.1 (-13.1) | 132.6 (+39.4) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2021 | SDST 81 – 65 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-16 | 16-7 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-3 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-1 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-2 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#64) | 3.1 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#46) | 0.30 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#45) | -0.17 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#57) | 0.595 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 39.8% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 9.0% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.5% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.5% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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