Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +13 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -7.6 (+20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -5.1 (+18.1) | 143.5 (+9.5) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -5.0 (+18.0) | 145.7 (+7.3) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -5.2 (+18.2) | 144.2 (+8.8) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-7 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-9 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-4 |
| Away | 7-2 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#140) | 7.3 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#209) | -0.23 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#210) | -0.02 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#124) | 0.533 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 9.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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