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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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8–1 on winners spread MAE 11.3 26 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
UConn @ USC	—	—	—	61–58	—
Saint Francis @ Liberty	+8.9	138.4	77%	62–78	✓
North Carolina A&T @ The Citadel	—	—	—	70–78	—
Marshall @ Wright State	—	—	—	80–64	—
UL Monroe @ Louisiana Tech	—	—	—	62–78	—
Western Illinois @ Iowa	—	—	—	58–99	—
VMI @ Virginia Tech	+11.7	146.8	85%	57–64	✓
Niagara @ Syracuse	—	—	—	45–75	—
Omaha @ Drake	+15.4	135.7	86%	66–87	✓
Seattle U @ UCLA	+2.6	144.0	58%	52–78	✓
UTSA @ Oklahoma	—	—	—	66–105	—
Northwestern State @ TCU	+14.8	139.7	87%	68–74	✓
Montana @ Southern Utah	—	—	—	63–64	—
Idaho @ Sacramento State	—	—	—	55–77	—
Florida @ Boston College	—	—	—	90–70	—
Arizona State @ California	+0.9	143.6	51%	70–62	✗
Texas Southern @ Saint Mary's	+4.5	133.4	77%	70–82	✓
Saint Peter's @ Maryland	+10.0	133.6	81%	57–90	✓
Fairfield @ Stony Brook	—	—	—	69–72	—
Detroit Mercy @ Michigan State	—	—	—	76–83	—
Kennesaw State @ Creighton	—	—	—	58–93	—
UT Arlington @ Tulsa	—	—	—	64–79	—
SE Louisiana @ California Baptist	+4.6	147.1	67%	66–83	✓
Kent State @ Virginia	—	—	—	64–71	—
Central Connecticut @ Hartford	—	—	—	65–80	—
Georgia State @ Charlotte	—	—	—	76–65	—

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.