Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
| Money | CBU -430 SELA +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +17 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -11.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -4.2 (+12.8) | 147.5 (+1.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -4.6 (+12.4) | 147.1 (+1.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -5.6 (+11.4) | 150.9 (-1.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -4.3 (+12.7) | 149.6 (-0.6) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2020 | SELA 81 – 80 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-10 | 8-18 |
| Conference | 6-6 | 5-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 3-4 |
| Away | 2-5 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#168) | -3.4 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.49 (#257) | 0.31 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.86 (#233) | 0.08 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#190) | 0.470 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 34.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 21.0% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 38.4% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 24.3% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.2% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 24.7% |
| DRB% | 59.2% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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