Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
| Money | CBU -475 SELA +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +1 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | CBU -24.8 (-25.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -12.9 (-13.9) | 148.0 (+13.0) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -12.8 (-13.8) | 151.2 (+9.8) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -13.1 (-14.1) | 146.8 (+14.2) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2020 | CBU 83 – 66 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-10 | 8-18 |
| Conference | 6-6 | 5-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 3-4 |
| Away | 2-5 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#52) | -7.8 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#136) | -0.89 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#133) | -1.14 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#10) | 0.403 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 30.6% |
| 3PT% | 48.8% | 12.8% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.2% | 33.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 24.5% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 4.2% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.8% | 58.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 51.4% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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