I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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6–3 on winners spread MAE 14.8 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
West Virginia @ Gonzaga -0.6 150.8 55% 82–87 ✗
Ball State @ Michigan — — — 65–84 —
Hartford @ Fairfield — — — 66–61 —
South Dakota State @ Iowa State — — — 71–68 —
Presbyterian @ Jacksonville — — — 65–78 —
Oral Roberts @ Wichita State — — — 80–85 —
Tarleton State @ Texas A&M — — — 66–73 —
SIU Edwardsville @ Northern Illinois — — — 73–53 —
Tennessee Tech @ Xavier — — — 48–79 —
Providence @ Alabama -1.4 143.5 46% 71–88 ✗
Seton Hall @ Rhode Island — — — 63–76 —
Murray State @ Middle Tennessee — — — 61–78 —
Southern Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State — — — 87–79 —
Drexel @ Quinnipiac — — — 66–48 —
Kennesaw State @ UAB — — — 48–73 —
North Florida @ Florida State — — — 58–86 —
Evansville @ UT Martin — — — 87–93 —
Houston Christian @ SMU +15.0 150.0 89% 75–102 ✓
Old Dominion @ Norfolk State — — — 80–66 —
Arkansas State @ Memphis +8.0 133.7 81% 54–83 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ UT Rio Grande Valley — — — 59–62 —
Louisiana @ LSU New Orleans — — — 66–63 —
Missouri @ Oregon — — — 83–75 —
North Dakota @ Utah Tech — — — 73–74 —
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Northwestern — — — 49–92 —
San Francisco @ Nevada +8.6 136.8 72% 85–60 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Wyoming — — — 83–94 —
UT Arlington @ Arkansas +18.9 151.3 90% 60–72 ✓
Davidson @ UNLV -11.0 139.3 18% 77–73 ✓
Illinois @ Baylor — — — 69–82 —
SE Louisiana @ California Baptist — — — 81–80 —
Oregon State @ Washington State — — — 55–59 —
Cal State Bakersfield @ Santa Clara — — — 47–53 —
Quinnipiac @ Drexel — — — 58–70 —
Chicago State @ Eastern Illinois +16.9 125.5 89% 56–78 ✓
Winthrop @ Little Rock — — — 80–75 —
UMass Lowell @ NC State +7.9 143.1 72% 59–90 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Northern Kentucky — — — 65–74 —
Washington @ Utah — — — 62–76 —

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.