Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +13 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | URI -5.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (-14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -3.1 (+9.9) | 148.2 (-9.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -1.1 (+11.9) | 151.9 (-12.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -2.9 (+10.1) | 150.9 (-11.9) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 10-9 |
| Home | 6-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#78) | 8.9 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#153) | 0.19 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#160) | 0.61 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#129) | 0.693 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 19.4% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 44.3% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.3% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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