I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Drexel Dragons
70 – 58
FINAL Neutral Air Force Reserve Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off Classic
Quinnipiac Bobcats
Mohegan Sun Arena (Neutral) · December 3, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread DREX -7.0 Home covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Money DREX -340 / QUIN +280
Model Predictions
Spread Total DREX win
Actual DREX +12 128 Won
Massey QUIN -5.8 (+17.8) — —
Massey Totals — 144.2 (-16.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 8% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 1% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -4.3 (+16.3) 140.4 (-12.4) 34% ✗
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -1.3 (+13.3) 140.6 (-12.6) 55% ✓
Baseline ML QUIN -4.5 (+16.5) 140.8 (-12.8) 47% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 3, 2020 DREX 66 – 48 QUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DREX QUIN
Overall 12-8 9-13
Conference 4-5 7-10
Home 3-2 8-5
Away 4-5 1-5
Neutral 5-1 0-3
Last 5 1-1 1-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 70.3 67.5
Avg Pts Against 67.4 69.0
Massey -4.1 (#189) 1.7 (#105)
Bradley-Terry -2.18 (#239) 0.33 (#109)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.50 (#249) 0.46 (#111)
RPI 0.000 (#234) 0.375 (#185)
Shooting & Four Factors DREX QUIN
FG% 48.4% 49.2%
3PT% 15.8% 37.5%
REB / G 29.0 39.0
OREB / G 11.0 13.0
AST / TO 1.42 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.8% 56.3%
TOV% 17.2% 21.7%
ORB% 33.3% 41.9%
FT Rate 17.7% 20.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 67.0% 41.3%
Opp TOV% 18.7% 20.4%
DRB% 81.8% 63.4%
Opp FT Rate 32.0% 22.2%

Game Analysis

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