Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -26.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | EIU -7000 CHST +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +22 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -30.4 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -16.0 (+6.0) | 131.4 (+2.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -16.9 (+5.1) | 125.5 (+8.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -18.0 (+4.0) | 131.3 (+2.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -17.9 (+4.1) | 129.8 (+4.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-18 | 0-9 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 0-0 |
| Home | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Away | 4-11 | 0-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 55.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 88.7 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#109) | -17.6 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#201) | -1.69 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#194) | -2.74 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#174) | 0.429 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.6% | 31.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 19.7% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 23.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.6% | 35.0% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 17.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 61.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 60.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.7% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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