Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | RGV -475 AMCC +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +3 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | RGV -21.7 (-18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -12.8 (-9.8) | 142.1 (-21.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -13.2 (-10.2) | 143.3 (-22.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -14.2 (-11.2) | 142.0 (-21.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | RGV 64 – 55 AMCC |
| Jan 3, 2026 | AMCC 63 – 59 RGV |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RGV 83 – 73 AMCC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AMCC 79 – 74 RGV |
| Dec 16, 2023 | AMCC 86 – 76 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-10 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 2-5 | 2-13 |
| Home | 8-3 | 4-8 |
| Away | 1-5 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L7 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#174) | -13.7 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#104) | -2.77 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#96) | -4.66 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.734 (#18) | 0.250 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.8% | 32.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 23.2% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.2% | 38.4% |
| TOV% | 13.0% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 60.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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