Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | MICH -1600 BALL +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +19 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -3.5 (+15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -7.2 (+11.8) | 150.4 (-1.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -4.9 (+14.1) | 148.9 (+0.1) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-5 | 10-13 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 8-9 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-4 |
| Away | 6-2 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#190) | 3.4 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#32) | -0.47 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#24) | -0.35 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.667 (#36) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 44.5 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 39.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.5% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 54.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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