Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | NEV -160 SF +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +25 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | NEV -20.7 (-45.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -8.6 (-33.6) | 136.8 (+8.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -12.7 (-37.7) | 133.0 (+12.0) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -13.9 (-38.9) | 131.4 (+13.6) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -6.5 (-31.5) | 136.2 (+8.8) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2025 | NEV 81 – 65 SF |
| Nov 19, 2021 | SF 73 – 70 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-10 | 11-14 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 4-9 |
| Home | 10-2 | 3-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#34) | -2.0 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#4) | -1.00 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.85 (#10) | -2.15 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.769 (#8) | 0.387 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 44.7 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.5% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 44.8% |
Game Analysis
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