Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -900 TNTC +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -15.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -9.2 (-0.2) | 140.3 (-1.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -8.6 (+0.4) | 140.6 (-1.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2022 | NKU 85 – 77 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 5-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-15 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#179) | -7.7 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#100) | -1.81 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#117) | -2.53 (#223) |
| RPI | — | 0.411 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 20.0% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 20.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.78 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 27.1% |
| ORB% | 45.5% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 13.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 60.5% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.