Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -20.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA -2800 SEA +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +26 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -6.5 (+19.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -3.2 (+22.8) | 146.6 (-16.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -2.6 (+23.4) | 144.0 (-14.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -2.8 (+23.2) | 147.6 (-17.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -3.4 (+22.6) | 147.3 (-17.3) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 4-5 |
| Home | 11-1 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#90) | 5.7 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#67) | 0.88 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#68) | 1.20 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.719 (#20) | 0.572 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 33.6% | 13.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 82.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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