Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | STBK -180 FAIR +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +3 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -28.5 (-25.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -15.9 (-12.9) | 147.3 (-6.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -16.4 (-13.4) | 145.7 (-4.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -14.7 (-11.7) | 149.1 (-8.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2021 | FAIR 83 – 78 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-14 | 10-17 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-5 | 4-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#130) | -18.6 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#177) | -2.58 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#170) | -3.69 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.333 (#211) | 0.215 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 41.6% |
| TOV% | 29.4% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 12.4% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.1% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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