Betting Lines
| Spread | FAIR -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +5 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | FAIR -20.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+25.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAIR -10.9 (-5.9) | 142.4 (+18.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAIR -13.4 (-8.4) | 140.6 (+20.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAIR -13.6 (-8.6) | 139.6 (+21.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAIR -12.6 (-7.6) | 139.9 (+21.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2020 | STBK 72 – 69 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-9 | 13-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#69) | -6.2 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#135) | -0.36 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#137) | -0.85 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#119) | 0.505 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 20.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 10.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.1% | 8.4% |
Game Analysis
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