Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
| Money | LIB -650 SFPA +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +16 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -16.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -9.8 (+6.2) | 141.5 (-1.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -8.9 (+7.1) | 138.4 (+1.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -11.2 (+4.8) | 139.5 (+0.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -10.6 (+5.4) | 140.7 (-0.7) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-6 | 6-16 |
| Conference | 11-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-0 | 4-6 |
| Away | 5-3 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#68) | -2.3 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#112) | -0.43 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#95) | -0.53 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#57) | 0.443 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 25.0 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 5.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 18.1% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.