Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | FIU -185 JXST +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +4 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -14.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -11.4 (-7.4) | 143.4 (+0.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -10.5 (-6.5) | 142.1 (+1.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -10.9 (-6.9) | 142.2 (+1.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | JXST 78 – 74 FIU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | JXST 71 – 64 FIU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | JXST 65 – 56 FIU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | JXST 84 – 79 FIU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | JXST 71 – 67 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#63) | 0.4 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#106) | 1.06 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#99) | 0.55 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#124) | 0.554 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 43.9% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 44.7 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 15.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.2% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 25.6% |
| ORB% | 45.7% | 37.7% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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