I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Big Sky Conference · The Nest · December 5, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread SAC -12.5 Home covered
O/U 131.0 Under
Money SAC -1000 / IDHO +650
Model Predictions
Spread Total SAC win
Actual SAC +16 130 Won
Massey SAC -17.8 (-1.8) — —
Massey Totals — 136.2 (-6.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Baseline ML SAC -17.5 (-1.5) 134.6 (-4.6) 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SAC -13.9 (+2.1) 138.0 (-8.0) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 IDHO 68 – 45 SAC
Feb 22, 2026 IDHO 86 – 80 SAC
Jan 23, 2026 IDHO 86 – 76 SAC
Feb 8, 2025 IDHO 78 – 76 SAC
Jan 10, 2025 IDHO 80 – 67 SAC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SAC IDHO
Overall 8-12 1-21
Conference 5-9 1-17
Home 5-3 1-9
Away 3-8 0-11
Neutral 0-1 0-1
Last 5 1-0 0-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 69.8 61.0
Avg Pts Against 73.9 76.5
Massey 4.2 (#76) -4.2 (#204)
Bradley-Terry 0.54 (#100) -0.54 (#184)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.85 (#94) -0.85 (#185)
RPI — —
Shooting & Four Factors SAC IDHO
FG% 50.9% 42.0%
3PT% 33.3% 42.9%
REB / G 38.0 24.0
OREB / G 11.0 6.0
AST / TO 1.08 0.71
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.3% 48.0%
TOV% 18.0% 25.5%
ORB% 37.9% 18.2%
FT Rate 24.6% 14.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.0% 55.3%
Opp TOV% 25.5% 18.0%
DRB% 81.8% 62.1%
Opp FT Rate 14.0% 24.6%

Game Analysis

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