Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -32.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +45 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | NU -35.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.4 (+47.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -25.2 (+19.8) | 137.6 (+39.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -33.2 (+11.8) | 139.1 (+37.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -32.3 (+12.7) | 141.8 (+35.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2023 | CHST 75 – 73 NU |
| Nov 8, 2022 | NU 85 – 54 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-15 | 0-9 |
| Conference | 6-13 | 0-0 |
| Home | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| Away | 2-8 | 0-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 55.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 88.7 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#33) | -18.0 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#134) | -2.20 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#135) | -3.50 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#204) | 0.290 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.6% | 33.0% |
| 3PT% | 48.3% | 24.4% |
| REB / G | 50.0 | 25.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 2.27 | 0.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.9% | 37.8% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 24.6% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 19.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 28.6% | 59.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 89.1% | 60.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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