Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -25.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | NU -10000 CHST +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHST +2 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | NU -23.0 (-25.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -20.6 (-22.6) | 135.7 (+12.3) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -18.4 (-20.4) | 139.1 (+8.9) | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NU -20.0 (-22.0) | 139.6 (+8.4) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -20.0 (-22.0) | 137.4 (+10.6) | 88% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | NU 85 – 54 CHST |
| Dec 5, 2020 | NU 111 – 66 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 0-0 |
| Home | 15-2 | 6-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#65) | -10.5 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#19) | -2.46 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.68 (#20) | -3.35 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#22) | 0.355 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 2.19 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 12.0% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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