Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
Allen Fieldhouse · December 5, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread KU -24.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money KU -7000 / NDSU +2000
Model Predictions
Spread Total KU win
Actual KU +4 126 Won
Massey KU -19.1 (-15.1) — —
Massey Totals — 138.2 (-12.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KU -12.3 (-8.3) 139.8 (-13.8) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KU -9.9 (-5.9) 134.4 (-8.4) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KU -11.7 (-7.7) 138.8 (-12.8) 86% ✓
Baseline ML KU -12.1 (-8.1) 139.2 (-13.2) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 11, 2022 KU 82 – 59 NDSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KU NDSU
Overall 21-9 15-12
Conference 12-6 11-5
Home 14-1 6-2
Away 4-6 5-7
Neutral 3-2 4-3
Last 5 2-1 0-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.1 69.7
Avg Pts Against 65.2 67.7
Massey 4.5 (#72) -5.3 (#219)
Bradley-Terry 0.94 (#71) -2.03 (#251)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.49 (#67) -4.06 (#270)
RPI 0.558 (#85) 0.466 (#155)
Shooting & Four Factors KU NDSU
FG% 44.0% 32.4%
3PT% 37.3% 26.2%
REB / G 40.7 44.0
OREB / G 12.0 13.3
AST / TO 0.86 0.55
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.7% 36.9%
TOV% 17.7% 23.5%
ORB% 31.3% 32.0%
FT Rate 29.5% 17.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.0% 49.2%
Opp TOV% 19.4% 11.5%
DRB% 74.1% 80.7%
Opp FT Rate 19.2% 14.5%

Game Analysis

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