Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | KU -4000 NDSU +2200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +23 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | KU -19.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -18.6 (+4.4) | 142.8 (-1.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -15.4 (+7.6) | 143.7 (-2.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2020 | KU 65 – 61 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#81) | -1.0 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#98) | -0.36 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#60) | -0.52 (#208) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.2% | 33.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.9% | 23.8% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.67 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.7% | 38.4% |
| TOV% | 13.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 44.4% | 17.1% |
| FT Rate | 11.6% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 82.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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