Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | GB +210 EIU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +2 | 184 | Lost |
| Massey | EIU -4.2 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+42.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -3.3 (+1.3) | 139.9 (+44.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -5.3 (+3.3) | 139.0 (+45.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -4.0 (+2.0) | 145.6 (+38.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -2.9 (+0.9) | 141.8 (+42.2) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-17 | 9-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 6-6 | 5-7 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -15.0 (#271) | -1.4 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#189) | -1.04 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#197) | -1.64 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#75) | 0.390 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 32.5% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 18.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.48 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 35.0% | 42.9% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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