Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -4000 UND +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +9 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -9.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -8.9 (+0.1) | 147.2 (-4.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -10.7 (-1.7) | 149.1 (-6.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-15 | 9-17 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 8-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 5-3 |
| Away | 0-10 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#128) | 0.9 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#56) | -0.87 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#63) | -1.03 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#11) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 24.6% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.8% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.5% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
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