Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -900 EWU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +3 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -10.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -9.0 (-6.0) | 143.1 (-6.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -6.8 (-3.8) | 143.0 (-6.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -12.0 (-9.0) | 140.9 (-3.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-9 | 16-8 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-3 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#98) | 1.5 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#112) | -0.28 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#108) | -0.30 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#124) | 0.667 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 46.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 16.2% |
| FT Rate | 35.0% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 35.3% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 10.3% |
Game Analysis
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