The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–9 on winners spread MAE 9.6 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Indiana @ Michigan +16.0 156.1 89% 72–86 ✓
UCF @ Iowa State +11.1 152.2 86% 57–87 ✓
LSU @ Florida +11.2 153.5 85% 61–79 ✓
NC State @ Clemson +3.4 139.2 71% 80–76 ✗
Saint Louis @ Duquesne -12.1 160.7 15% 81–77 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Kent State -4.5 165.2 31% 107–101 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ St. Bonaventure +11.1 148.0 86% 70–84 ✓
Seton Hall @ St. John's +9.6 137.1 81% 60–65 ✓
Florida State @ Miami +13.4 156.8 88% 65–63 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Ohio +8.4 143.6 82% 77–80 ✓
Bowling Green @ Western Michigan -3.9 149.6 37% 72–54 ✓
Ball State @ Central Michigan +1.0 137.1 50% 68–67 ✗
Oklahoma @ South Carolina +1.3 146.1 57% 76–85 ✓
DePaul @ Butler +9.2 143.0 80% 80–87 ✓
Evansville @ UIC +8.2 131.9 81% 49–76 ✓
Oklahoma State @ TCU +4.8 155.1 70% 65–68 ✓
Rutgers @ Iowa +16.8 138.9 90% 62–68 ✓
Boise State @ Wyoming +2.8 143.7 64% 81–65 ✗
UT Martin @ Southeast Missouri State -3.1 135.8 38% 50–66 ✗
Michigan State @ Oregon -8.4 133.3 18% 68–52 ✓
Texas Tech @ Baylor -1.0 149.5 45% 92–73 ✓
Georgia @ Missouri -2.8 162.3 39% 74–72 ✓
Utah @ Kansas State +6.5 158.2 76% 78–81 ✓
SMU @ Wake Forest -0.6 148.4 47% 91–79 ✓
Air Force @ Colorado State +16.6 133.5 90% 52–81 ✓
Auburn @ Ole Miss -1.5 151.5 46% 78–66 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Arkansas +1.6 170.4 55% 68–93 ✓
Purdue @ UCLA -5.2 140.6 28% 67–69 ✗
San José State @ Nevada +12.3 140.7 88% 54–87 ✓
UNLV @ Utah State +16.0 155.6 90% 86–76 ✗
Kansas @ Colorado -5.7 149.0 30% 75–69 ✓
Lafayette @ Boston University +4.1 142.6 68% 73–77 ✓
UNC Asheville @ South Carolina Upstate +0.2 139.7 50% 83–69 ✗
Samford @ Wofford +4.6 148.3 69% 78–88 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ VMI -2.1 145.4 39% 85–78 ✓
Dayton @ La Salle -8.0 134.0 22% 64–67 ✗
Radford @ Winthrop +11.4 155.6 88% 75–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.