Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | COLO +160 KU -192 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +6 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -7.8 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -4.7 (-1.3) | 149.5 (-5.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -5.7 (-0.3) | 149.0 (-5.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -6.0 (+0.0) | 149.6 (-5.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -6.3 (+0.3) | 151.5 (-7.5) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2025 | KU 71 – 64 COLO |
| Feb 12, 2025 | KU 71 – 59 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.2 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#87) | 18.7 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#76) | 3.03 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#71) | 3.92 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#82) | 0.657 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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