Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | COLO +240 KU -290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +7 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -8.3 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -6.1 (-0.9) | 141.4 (-6.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -6.2 (-0.8) | 140.3 (-5.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -6.3 (-0.7) | 141.2 (-6.2) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -6.9 (-0.1) | 142.2 (-7.2) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | KU 75 – 69 COLO |
| Feb 12, 2025 | KU 71 – 59 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-21 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 0-10 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#90) | 17.5 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#110) | 2.48 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#106) | 3.11 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#201) | 0.614 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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