Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | MISS +150 AUB -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +12 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | AUB -2.9 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -3.3 (-8.7) | 153.5 (-9.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -1.8 (-10.2) | 151.2 (-7.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -1.5 (-10.5) | 151.5 (-7.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -1.5 (-10.5) | 151.0 (-7.0) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | MISS 85 – 79 AUB |
| Mar 14, 2025 | AUB 62 – 57 MISS |
| Feb 27, 2025 | AUB 106 – 76 MISS |
| Feb 1, 2025 | AUB 92 – 82 MISS |
| Feb 3, 2024 | AUB 91 – 77 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 22-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-9 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#77) | 14.4 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#79) | 2.19 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#79) | 3.38 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#90) | 0.614 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 39.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 33.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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