Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 168.5 Under |
| Money | KSU -550 UTAH +410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +3 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -8.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -7.5 (-4.5) | 159.8 (-0.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -6.5 (-3.5) | 158.2 (+0.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -7.0 (-4.0) | 159.6 (-0.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -6.7 (-3.7) | 162.1 (-3.1) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2025 | UTAH 74 – 69 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 2-16 |
| Home | 10-8 | 8-9 |
| Away | 1-10 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#71) | 3.6 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#84) | 0.82 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#91) | 0.80 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#96) | 0.525 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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