Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH -155 KSU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -2.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -3.0 (+2.0) | 145.9 (-2.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -3.0 (+2.0) | 145.0 (-2.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -3.1 (+1.9) | 145.2 (-2.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -3.0 (+2.0) | 145.6 (-2.6) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | KSU 81 – 78 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#64) | 9.4 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#70) | 1.54 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#74) | 2.00 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#134) | 0.553 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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