Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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13–1 on winners spread MAE 7.4 14 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
New Haven @ Chicago State -1.5 128.8 39% 62–56 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lehigh +4.1 145.5 67% 81–88 ✓
SE Louisiana @ UT Rio Grande Valley +6.2 131.8 74% 65–68 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Nicholls -5.5 139.9 27% 79–62 ✓
Florida A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -11.4 137.2 15% 62–48 ✓
Texas Southern @ Jackson State +1.3 149.3 55% 89–94 ✓
Northwestern State @ Houston Christian +1.5 138.9 58% 80–82 ✓
Lamar @ New Orleans +1.3 140.1 56% 76–89 ✓
Montana State @ Northern Colorado +1.0 147.8 55% 73–68 ✗
Montana @ Northern Arizona -4.2 138.7 31% 98–72 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Hampton +2.2 136.6 63% 61–82 ✓
Toledo @ Massachusetts +1.0 152.7 60% 82–84 ✓
Minnesota @ Ohio State +9.4 141.1 81% 74–82 ✓
Akron @ Buffalo -4.2 164.8 33% 82–63 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.